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These days, if a person is interested in playing blackjack, there is no lacking for choices, even from the comfort of your own home. For the gambling gamer, thanks to the 24x7 availability of the Internet, you can visit an online casino, online blackjack, or one of many online poker sites, and find that opportunities, even for advantage play, are ubiquitous.
But while online blackjack is one thing, card-counting advantage play remains quite another. It requires brick and mortar, and to effectively and successfully attack those places, you'll need all the tools you can find.
Blackjack Risk Manager 2002 (BJRM) is an easy-to-use "utility" program that instantly performs several complicated blackjack risk-related statistical calculations, providing you with the facts you need to manage your total blackjack risk. BJRM can be used to provide answers to many very important blackjack questions, such as:
- What is the chance that I will tap out on trip/session, based on my trip or total bankroll?
- Within my spread, how much, and where, should I place bets in order to maximize the rate of my bankroll growth?
- Which is the better game to play? An H17 DAS 2-dk 70 card penetration game, played "all" with a 1-6 spread, or a back-counted S17 DAS LS 1-8 spread game where 4.5 decks of 6 are dealt?
- What is my probability of being ahead ( or behind ) by, say, $2000, sometime during my next 16 hours of play?
- Exactly how much bank do I need if I am willing to tolerate a 10% risk-of-ruin? What if I change that to 5%?
- What's my$$ hourly win rate"?
- What if I played two hands per round, instead of one?
- Is it worth it to learn a new, more powerful, but more complicated, counting system?
- I played 6 hours last weekend, and lost $5,000. How rare of an event was that?
- I seem to experience very wild $ "swings" as my blackjack play mounts up. Is that normal?
- I do a lot of table-hopping. How many hands per hour am I actually playing?
And many, many more questions — just as interesting and revealing. Most questions can be answered with very little text entry, simply by selecting and mouse-clicking on the program’s built-in choices.
The Main Menu screen of BJRM 2002 gives you access to several features/sections, including:
The One Second Simulator: Select from hundreds of pre-run simulations. Manipulate bet patterns. Find your optimum bet placement within a spread. Calculate Win Rate, ROR, DI, SCORE, N0 (N-Zero) and most all of the important blackjack statistics.
Trip-based Statistics: Determine your Trip or Session Risk-of-Ruin, expectation, and the odds of reaching certain goals and milestones. Graphically view typical ups and downs of your bankroll, hour-by-hour and trip-by-trip, in the eye-opening "Take A Random Walk" section.
Risk of Ruin Calcs: Basic "lifetime" Risk-of-Ruin statistics, based on given Win Rates, SDs and Banks. Also, solve for required $ Bank, given a target Risk-of-Ruin value. View number of hands and hours required for +1, +2, and +3 SD results.
Systems 101: A basic entry-level "course" in several popular counting systems. Learn the card tags, I18 and F4 indices, and where to go for more information. Practice your Card Counting skill. Estimate your probable hands-per-clock-hour, for play-all and wonging the 6 and 8 deck shoes.
Build One Sec Sim Files: Primarily for Advanced Users, this feature assists you in creating your own custom input files for use in the One Second Simulator. The data can be entered in two ways: (1) manually, based on output from simulations you have run with certain commercially available simulator programs, or (2) automatically parsed from the standard output report files of Karel Janecek’s Statistical Blackjack Analyzer program (purchased separately). If you find the pre-run simulations in the One Sec Simulator sufficient, and most of you will, you can just ignore this program feature.
Help: Access to the detailed on-line Help system for BJRM. Can be selectively printed out to serve as a User Guide. Elsewhere on this site you can download Word and PDF versions of Help.
BJRM's main feature, the "One Second Simulator" (OSS), contains the statistical results of hundreds of already completed simulations, covering a wide range of blackjack rule and penetration combinations. Utilizing these simulations as a base, the OSS feature allows you to select a particular counting system (e.g. hi-lo, K-O, UBZII, Zen, Red-7), the number of decks in play, a particular rules set, and a penetration level.
Then, for betting, you can: enter your own preferred pattern; select from a number of one-click choices; or, perhaps best of all, you can utilize what is likely OSS’s most valuable feature — its ability, when given a specific bet spread, to automatically compute the best size and placement of those bets in order to optimize the growth rate of your bankroll! And it does this for both "play-all" and "wonging," including determination of the optimum wong-in point (it is not always the first positive EV true or running count!)
For all you fans of Don Schlesinger’s writings, one of the one-click bet patterns in OSS features a hi-lo player using the "Illustrious 18" and "Fab 4" strategy departures, and utilizes the results from the simulations I generated as the basis for the original Chapter 10 of Don’s classic book, Blackjack Attack: Playing the Pros’ Way.
Also included are two features that I think you will find useful and fun. In the "Systems 101" section, I have included a simple "practice your card counting" applet, perfect for practice or warming-up before you hit the casino. I have also included "BJ Clock," a custom program designed especially for my collaboration on the Optimal Departure study in Blackjack Attack. It will help you estimate your probable hands-player-per-clock-hour value - vital to determining your $$ expectation, and the effectiveness of your wonging "style".
Because I believe that many card counters do not really have a firm grasp on the nature of the bankroll swings they experience, due to the inexorable workings of the effects of standard deviation, BJRM has a program screen that graphically displays typical examples of the hour-by-hour and trip-by-trip fluctuations you may very well experience. I call this part of BJRM "Take a Random Walk," in reference to the common metaphor that the bankroll growth of a card counter is like taking "a random walk," which in the short- and medium-run, can sometimes lead all over the place, but, fortunately, trends upward as the long-run is approached. I think you’ll find this feature to be a real eye-opener. See the BJRM In Action section of this Web site, for a live action demo.
So dig in, explore, and enjoy — Blackjack Risk Manager 2002. And may you never be surprised by the ups and downs of blackjack risk, again!
- John M. Auston
Pay a visit to a casino online and try your favorite games.
You can test your blackjack strategy at the tables or your other gaming skills.
Take your choice from a range of other casino games.
Questions? E-mail BJRM Support by clicking HERE.
One Second Simulator | Trip Based Calculations | Systems 101 | How to Order | Contact | See it in Action
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